---
title: Next ISM Manufacturing PMI release date and forecast
description: "Next ISM Manufacturing PMI release date: first business day, 10 AM ET. Forecast, prices-paid watch, and how the print moves Treasury yields."
source: Helious
canonical: "https://helious.io/data/ism-manufacturing"
---

# ISM Manufacturing PMI: release dates, results and history


    ISM Manufacturing PMI last printed 54.5 on Thu, Oct 1, 2026 against a 55 consensus forecast and a 54.6 prior, a -0.31 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

    ISM Manufacturing is the first major number of every month and a long-running read on where the business cycle sits. Above 50 the sector is growing, below it is shrinking. Two subindices further down the report often move markets more than the headline: prices paid, which is an inflation tell, and new orders, which turns before the rest of the cycle does. Get a print deep below 50 and the recession talk starts fast.


    NEXT RELEASE
    Released monthly, first business day of the month, usually around 10:00 AM ET. The desk posts the print the second it lands.





      LATEST PRINT: THU, OCT 1, 2026

        54.5actual

        55forecast
        54.6prior
        -0.31std dev vs forecastIN LINE

      [Full print analysis →](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-eccea8b945308201/ism-manufacturing-pmi-54-5)



      Surprise vs forecast


      −0.31
      std dev
      IN LINE










      -2-10+1+2



        Printed in line with forecast. That gap is only 0.31 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.





## The trend



        DESK-CAPTURED PRINTS · LAST 3





    55.655.054.5



  2026-082026-10

      Every print the desk has captured for this series, drawn as a trend. The graded history, with consensus and the standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the [Helious API](https://helious.io/developers/).





## How it moves Treasuries

    A strong ISM pushes yields up. A large downside miss does the reverse and pulls in flight-to-quality bids, people buying Treasuries out of fear rather than for the yield. A hot prices-paid component can override all of that and turn a soft headline into a print that still sells bonds. See it scored live on the [Helious desk](https://helious.io/),
    or read [how the standard-deviation surprise is computed](https://helious.io/methodology).






## Recent prints, as captured by the desk


      DATEACTUALFORECASTPRIORSURPRISE (SD)PRINT


      Thu, Oct 1, 2026Oct 1 ’26
      54.5
      55.0
      54.6
      -0.31
      [BELOW FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-eccea8b945308201/ism-manufacturing-pmi-54-5)



      Tue, Sep 1, 2026Sep 1 ’26
      54.6
      55.2
      55.6
      -0.38
      [BELOW FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-3b19411bd9f1fc07/ism-manufacturing-pmi-54-6)



      Mon, Aug 3, 2026Aug 3 ’26
      55.6
      54.0
      53.3
      +1.00
      [ABOVE FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-01035d42a6bb233e/ism-manufacturing-pmi-55-6)


    The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the [API](https://helious.io/developers/).







## Related indicators




      Monthly, first business day of the month · 10:00 AM ET ·
      [download a sample (CSV, recent rows)](https://helious.io/data/ism-manufacturing.csv), free to cite with a link to this page.
      The full history comes through the [Helious API](https://helious.io/developers/) and
      MCP at [api.helious.io/mcp](https://api.helious.io/mcp), with depth set by plan.


    [Catch the next print live →](https://helious.io/)