---
title: Next jobless claims release date, time and forecast
description: "Initial jobless claims come out every Thursday at 8:30 AM ET. Next release date, consensus forecast, and how claims surprises move Treasury yields."
source: Helious
canonical: "https://helious.io/data/jobless-claims"
---

# Initial Jobless Claims: release dates, results and history


    Initial Jobless Claims last printed 197K on Thu, Oct 1, 2026 against a 200K consensus forecast and a 197K prior, a -0.21 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

    Claims are the fastest read there is on the labor market, a layoffs tape out every Thursday. The trend is what matters, not any one week, so desks read the 4-week average and continuing claims alongside the headline. A grind higher that keeps going is the earliest recession warning available in hard data. And when the tape is already fragile, one bad claims number can move markets as hard as a tier-1 release.




        NEXT RELEASE


      Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET
      Consensus forecast: 195K


    Next release **--:--**




      LATEST PRINT: THU, OCT 1, 2026

        197Kactual

        200Kforecast
        197Kprior
        -0.21std dev vs forecastIN LINE

      [Full print analysis →](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-c0de6a93e7e94e1b/initial-jobless-claims-197k)



      Surprise vs forecast


      −0.21
      std dev
      IN LINE










      -2-10+1+2



        Printed in line with forecast. That gap is only 0.21 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.





## The trend



        OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 36 OBSERVATIONS · CLAIMS





    230000209500189000



  2026-012026-09

      The official published series at its current vintage, revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history, with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the [Helious API](https://helious.io/developers/).





## How it moves Treasuries

    Higher claims rally Treasuries, because more layoffs bring Fed cuts closer. Come in 20 to 30k above consensus and the front end gets bid, reliably, and harder still when continuing claims say the same thing. See it scored live on the [Helious desk](https://helious.io/),
    or read [how the standard-deviation surprise is computed](https://helious.io/methodology).






## Recent prints, as captured by the desk


      DATEACTUALFORECASTPRIORSURPRISE (SD)PRINT


      Thu, Oct 1, 2026Oct 1 ’26
      197K
      200K
      197K
      -0.21
      [BELOW FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-c0de6a93e7e94e1b/initial-jobless-claims-197k)



      Thu, Sep 24, 2026Sep 24 ’26
      197K
      201K
      196K
      -0.29
      [BELOW FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-19c3a4b769eced9e/initial-jobless-claims-197k)



      Thu, Sep 17, 2026Sep 17 ’26
      196K
      208K
      206K
      -0.86
      [BELOW FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-d826a8897ab313fa/initial-jobless-claims-196k)



      Thu, Sep 10, 2026Sep 10 ’26
      206K
      205K
      206K
      +0.07
      [ON THE SCREWS](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-bc65a63ac3d24206/initial-jobless-claims-206k)



      Thu, Sep 3, 2026Sep 3 ’26
      206K
      205K
      203K
      +0.07
      [ON THE SCREWS](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-4bf4e0ee5f1d273f/initial-jobless-claims-206k)



      Thu, Aug 27, 2026Aug 27 ’26
      203K
      208K
      206K
      -0.36
      [BELOW FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-35aa45616d046f71/initial-jobless-claims-203k)


    The 6 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the [API](https://helious.io/developers/).






## Official series history


      PERIODVALUE (CLAIMS)PRIORCHANGE

        2026-09-26
        197K

        198K
        -1K
        2026-09-19
        198K

        198K
        +0K
        2026-09-12
        198K

        207K
        -9K
        2026-09-05
        207K

        207K
        +0K
        2026-08-29
        207K

        204K
        +3K
        2026-08-22
        204K

        207K
        -3K
        2026-08-15
        207K

        212K
        -5K
        2026-08-08
        212K

        200K
        +12K


    These are the most recent official
    rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up
    the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment
    each number landed.






## Related indicators




      Weekly, every Thursday · 8:30 AM ET ·
      [download a sample (CSV, recent rows)](https://helious.io/data/jobless-claims.csv), free to cite with a link to this page.
      The full history comes through the [Helious API](https://helious.io/developers/) and
      MCP at [api.helious.io/mcp](https://api.helious.io/mcp), with depth set by plan.


    [Catch the next print live →](https://helious.io/)