---
title: "Next PCE Release Date & Time: Fed Inflation Gauge"
description: "When is the next PCE inflation report? Release date, 8:30 AM ET timing, forecasts, and why the Fed's preferred gauge moves Treasury yields."
source: Helious
canonical: "https://helious.io/data/pce"
---

# PCE Price Index: release dates, results and history


    PCE Price Index last printed 0.3 on Wed, Sep 30, 2026 against a 0.4 consensus forecast and a 0.2 prior, a -1.43 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

    The Fed's inflation target is written in PCE terms, so the 2% everyone quotes is a PCE number and not a CPI one. PCE lands after CPI and PPI, so a good part of it can be worked out in advance. A surprise still moves rates though, because this is the figure that goes into the Fed's SEP. When PCE and CPI point different ways, the Fed follows PCE.


    NEXT RELEASE
    Released monthly, end of month with personal income & outlays, usually around 8:30 AM ET. The desk posts the print the second it lands.





      LATEST PRINT: WED, SEP 30, 2026

        0.3actual

        0.4forecast
        0.2prior
        -1.43std dev vs forecastMISS

      [Full print analysis →](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-aeaa559333b2efbb/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index-mom-0-3)
      LATEST OFFICIAL Y/Y FIGURE: AUG 2026 DATA (REFERENCE MONTH)

        3.4%actual y/y

        —forecast
        3.4%prior


      This is the year-over-year tenor of the same release, taken from the release calendar.



      Surprise vs forecast


      −1.43
      std dev
      MISS










      -2-10+1+2



        Printed below forecast. That gap is 1.43 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.





## The trend



        OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 36 OBSERVATIONS · % M/M


        M/M
        Y/Y






    +0.63%0-0.10%



  2023-092026-08




    3.8%3.0%2.3%



  2023-092026-08



      The official published series at its current vintage, revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history, with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the [Helious API](https://helious.io/developers/).





## How it moves Treasuries

    Hotter PCE is bearish for Treasuries, but the reaction is usually smaller than on CPI day. By the time this one prints, most of the components have already been inferred from CPI and PPI. A genuine surprise still reprices the Fed path directly. See it scored live on the [Helious desk](https://helious.io/),
    or read [how the standard-deviation surprise is computed](https://helious.io/methodology).






## Recent prints, as captured by the desk


      DATEACTUALFORECASTPRIORSURPRISE (SD)PRINT


      Wed, Sep 30, 2026Sep 30 ’26
      0.3
      0.4
      0.2
      -1.43
      [BELOW FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-aeaa559333b2efbb/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index-mom-0-3)



      Wed, Aug 26, 2026Aug 26 ’26
      0.2
      0.1
      -0.1
      +1.43
      [ABOVE FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-887873b6deb16691/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index-mom-0-2)



      Thu, Jul 30, 2026Jul 30 ’26
      -0.1
      -0.1
      0.4
      0.00
      [ON THE SCREWS](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-0b36cf849d953646/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index-mom-0-1)


    The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the [API](https://helious.io/developers/).






## Official series history


      PERIODVALUE (% M/M)Y/YPRIOR

        2026-08-01
        +0.31%
        3.4%
        +0.05%

        2026-07-01
        +0.05%
        3.4%
        -0.1%

        2026-06-01
        -0.1%
        3.5%
        +0.44%

        2026-05-01
        +0.44%
        3.8%
        +0.44%

        2026-04-01
        +0.44%
        3.6%
        +0.63%

        2026-03-01
        +0.63%
        3.4%
        +0.35%

        2026-02-01
        +0.35%
        2.8%
        +0.3%

        2026-01-01
        +0.3%
        2.7%
        +0.32%



    These are the most recent official
    rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up
    the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment
    each number landed.






## Related indicators




      Monthly, end of month with Personal Income & Outlays · 8:30 AM ET ·
      [download a sample (CSV, recent rows)](https://helious.io/data/pce.csv), free to cite with a link to this page.
      The full history comes through the [Helious API](https://helious.io/developers/) and
      MCP at [api.helious.io/mcp](https://api.helious.io/mcp), with depth set by plan.


    [Catch the next print live →](https://helious.io/)