---
title: "Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index: -2 (Sep 22), next Oct 27"
description: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index printed -2 on Sep 22, 2026 against a 5 consensus and a 4 prior, a -1.17 standard-deviation surprise. Live release history.
source: Helious
canonical: "https://helious.io/data/richmond-fed-manufacturing"
---

# Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index: release dates, results and history


    Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index last printed -2 on Tue, Sep 22, 2026 against a 5 consensus forecast and a 4 prior, a -1.17 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

    Richmond covers the Fifth District, which runs from the Carolinas up through Maryland. Traders average five regional factory surveys into a nowcast of ISM manufacturing, a guess at the ISM number before it prints, and Richmond is one of the five. It asks about the month you are currently in, and it lands in the final week alongside the other late regionals, so it feeds the ISM whisper, the unofficial forecast people position off. Anything above zero is expansion. The composite itself is shipments, new orders and employment rolled together.




        NEXT RELEASE


      Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET



    Next release **--:--**




      LATEST PRINT: TUE, SEP 22, 2026

        -2actual

        5forecast
        4prior
        -1.17std dev vs forecastMISS

      [Full print analysis →](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-af775491b7751f92/richmond-fed-manufacturing-index-2)



      Surprise vs forecast


      −1.17
      std dev
      MISS










      -2-10+1+2



        Printed below forecast. That gap is 1.17 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.





## The trend



        DESK-CAPTURED PRINTS · LAST 3





    +5.000-2.00



  2026-072026-09

      Every print the desk has captured for this series, drawn as a trend. The graded history, with consensus and the standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the [Helious API](https://helious.io/developers/).





## How it moves Treasuries

    A strong print is mildly bearish Treasuries, though no single regional survey moves rates by itself. What traders play is the sweep. When the month's regionals all lean the same way, ISM expectations and yields move before the ISM print lands. See it scored live on the [Helious desk](https://helious.io/),
    or read [how the standard-deviation surprise is computed](https://helious.io/methodology).






## Recent prints, as captured by the desk


      DATEACTUALFORECASTPRIORSURPRISE (SD)PRINT


      Tue, Sep 22, 2026Sep 22 ’26
      -2
      5
      4
      -1.17
      [BELOW FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-af775491b7751f92/richmond-fed-manufacturing-index-2)



      Tue, Aug 25, 2026Aug 25 ’26
      4
      7
      5
      -0.50
      [BELOW FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-c49b79da47e3dc5b/richmond-fed-manufacturing-index-4)



      Tue, Jul 28, 2026Jul 28 ’26
      5
      10
      4
      -0.83
      [BELOW FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-36a10126f983255d/richmond-fed-manufacturing-index-5)


    The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the [API](https://helious.io/developers/).






## FAQ

### What was the latest Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index print?

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index last printed -2 on Tue, Sep 22, 2026 against a 5 consensus forecast and a 4 prior, a -1.17 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

### When is the next Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index release?

The next Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index release is Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Helious posts the print, the surprise against consensus and a verdict the second it lands.

### Was the latest Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index print a beat or a miss?

It printed below the consensus forecast: -2 against 5, a -1.17 standard-deviation surprise. The standard deviation is measured against this indicator's own history of consensus misses, so the same gap means more on a series that rarely surprises.

      Monthly, ~fourth Tuesday for the current month · 10:00 AM ET ·
      [download a sample (CSV, recent rows)](https://helious.io/data/richmond-fed-manufacturing.csv), free to cite with a link to this page.
      The full history comes through the [Helious API](https://helious.io/developers/) and
      MCP at [api.helious.io/mcp](https://api.helious.io/mcp), with depth set by plan.


    [Catch the next print live →](https://helious.io/)