---
title: Next Trade Balance Release Date & US Trade Deficit
description: "Next US trade balance release date and 8:30 AM ET timing, deficit forecast, and how trade swings move GDPNow and Treasury yields."
source: Helious
canonical: "https://helious.io/data/trade-balance"
---

# Trade Balance: release dates, results and history


    Trade Balance last printed -88.6B on Thu, Sep 3, 2026 against a -90.0B consensus forecast and a -73.3B prior, a +0.33 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

    Net exports sit inside the GDP arithmetic, so a swing in the trade gap pulls quarterly growth trackers like GDPNow along with it, sometimes by full tenths. Tariffs put this release back in play. Importers rush shipments in ahead of a new duty and then hand the volume back the month after, which distorts the deficit and whipsaws the GDP estimates built on it. The advance goods report lands earlier, though, and often takes the reaction with it.




        NEXT RELEASE


      Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET
      Consensus forecast: -102.0B


    Next release **--:--**




      LATEST PRINT: THU, SEP 3, 2026

        -88.6Bactual

        -90.0Bforecast
        -73.3Bprior
        +0.33std dev vs forecastIN LINE

      [Full print analysis →](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-ec9c3cef8f3ecab5/goods-and-services-trade-balance-88-6b)



      Surprise vs forecast


      +0.33
      std dev
      IN LINE










      -2-10+1+2



        Printed in line with forecast. That gap is only 0.33 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.





## The trend



        OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 36 OBSERVATIONS · $M





    -37376M-85180M-132983M



  2023-082026-07

      The official published series at its current vintage, revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history, with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the [Helious API](https://helious.io/developers/).





## How it moves Treasuries

    There is no clean sign on this one. A wider deficit knocks the GDP trackers down, which is mildly bullish for Treasuries, but the same wider deficit can mean import demand is running strong, and that reads the other way. When bonds do move on it, they are moving on the revised tracker rather than on the print itself. See it scored live on the [Helious desk](https://helious.io/),
    or read [how the standard-deviation surprise is computed](https://helious.io/methodology).






## Recent prints, as captured by the desk


      DATEACTUALFORECASTPRIORSURPRISE (SD)PRINT


      Thu, Sep 3, 2026Sep 3 ’26
      -88.6B
      -90.0B
      -73.3B
      +0.33
      [ABOVE FORECAST](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-ec9c3cef8f3ecab5/goods-and-services-trade-balance-88-6b)



      Tue, Aug 4, 2026Aug 4 ’26
      -73.3B
      -73.0B
      -77.6B
      -0.07
      [ON THE SCREWS](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-f4c175a74f98ceb9/goods-and-services-trade-balance-73-3b)



      Tue, Jul 7, 2026Jul 7 ’26
      $-77.6B
      $-78.0B
      $-55.9B
      +0.10
      [ON THE SCREWS](https://helious.io/news/rel-ev-060892e7ced9b44d/goods-and-services-trade-balance-77-6b)


    The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the [API](https://helious.io/developers/).






## Official series history


      PERIODVALUE ($M)PRIORCHANGE

        2026-07-01
        -$88.6B

        -$71.2B
        -$17.4B
        2026-06-01
        -$71.2B

        -$75.8B
        +$4.6B
        2026-05-01
        -$75.8B

        -$52.9B
        -$22.9B
        2026-04-01
        -$52.9B

        -$53.7B
        +$0.8B
        2026-03-01
        -$53.7B

        -$52.5B
        -$1.2B
        2026-02-01
        -$52.5B

        -$52.7B
        +$0.2B
        2026-01-01
        -$52.7B

        -$76.1B
        +$23.4B
        2025-12-01
        -$76.1B

        -$63.9B
        -$12.2B


    These are the most recent official
    rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up
    the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment
    each number landed.




      Monthly, ~first week for the month two prior · 8:30 AM ET ·
      [download a sample (CSV, recent rows)](https://helious.io/data/trade-balance.csv), free to cite with a link to this page.
      The full history comes through the [Helious API](https://helious.io/developers/) and
      MCP at [api.helious.io/mcp](https://api.helious.io/mcp), with depth set by plan.


    [Catch the next print live →](https://helious.io/)