---
title: "Cleveland Fed inflation nowcast: Q4 CPI 4.2% · core CPI 2.6% · PCE 3.9% · core PCE 3.1%"
description: "Cleveland Fed inflation nowcasting model, Q4 2026 (quarterly annualized % change): CPI 4.2%, core CPI 2.6%, PCE 3.9%, core PCE 3.1%."
source: Helious
canonical: "https://helious.io/news/macro-clevnow-2026-10-01/cleveland-fed-inflation-nowcast-q4-cpi-4-2-core-cpi-2-6-pce"
---

ECONOMIC RELEASE
              01 Oct 2026, 14:01 UTC



# Cleveland Fed inflation nowcast: Q4 CPI 4.2% · core CPI 2.6% · PCE 3.9% · core PCE 3.1%



            Cleveland Fed inflation nowcasting model, Q4 2026 (quarterly annualized % change): CPI 4.2%, core CPI 2.6%, PCE 3.9%, core PCE 3.1%. Model update as of 2026-10-01.






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