Latest desk notes

Economic releases with the σ surprise and the measured market reaction, Treasury auction recaps, and the daily brief, published by the Helious desk the moment they happen.

ALL DESK NOTES AUCTIONS DATA FED SPEAK

TREASURY AUCTION 14 Jul 2026, 15:37 UTC

6-Week Bill auction — IN LINE

6-Week Bill auction — IN LINE. B/C 2.84 (avg 3.00), high 3.706%, indirect 72.4% (avg 64.9), direct 1.7% (avg 3.5), dealer 25.9% (avg 31.5). IN LINE demand → bonds BULLISH.

TREASURY AUCTION 13 Jul 2026, 15:37 UTC

26-Week (6-month) Bill auction — STRONG

26-Week (6-month) Bill auction — STRONG. B/C 3.11 (avg 2.75), high 3.992%, indirect 66.5% (avg 58.3), direct 8.1% (avg 7.1), dealer 25.4% (avg 34.6). STRONG demand → bonds BULLISH.

TREASURY AUCTION 13 Jul 2026, 15:37 UTC

13-Week (3-month) Bill auction — STRONG

13-Week (3-month) Bill auction — STRONG. B/C 2.84 (avg 2.59), high 3.849%, indirect 56.8% (avg 51.0), direct 8.2% (avg 6.2), dealer 35.0% (avg 42.7). STRONG demand → bonds BULLISH.

TREASURY AUCTION 09 Jul 2026, 17:08 UTC

30-Year Bond auction — IN LINE

30-Year Bond auction — IN LINE. B/C 2.44 (avg 2.53), high 5.058%, stopped through 0.3bp, indirect 77.7% (avg 68.5), direct 12.2% (avg 23.2), dealer 10.1% (avg 8.3). IN LINE demand …

TREASURY AUCTION 09 Jul 2026, 15:34 UTC

8-Week (2-month) Bill auction — STRONG

8-Week (2-month) Bill auction — STRONG. B/C 2.95 (avg 2.88), high 3.706%, indirect 74.6% (avg 63.7), direct 4.5% (avg 3.1), dealer 21.0% (avg 33.2). STRONG demand → bonds BULLISH.

TREASURY AUCTION 09 Jul 2026, 15:34 UTC

4-Week (1-month) Bill auction — WEAK

4-Week (1-month) Bill auction — WEAK. B/C 2.64 (avg 2.90), high 3.691%, indirect 56.6% (avg 68.8), direct 4.6% (avg 3.2), dealer 38.8% (avg 28.1). WEAK demand → bonds BEARISH.

TREASURY AUCTION 08 Jul 2026, 17:10 UTC

10-Year Note auction — STRONG

10-Year Note auction — STRONG. B/C 2.59 (avg 2.44), high 4.580%, stopped through 0.6bp, indirect 81.5% (avg 66.9), direct 10.7% (avg 21.8), dealer 7.8% (avg 11.3). STRONG demand → …

TREASURY AUCTION 08 Jul 2026, 15:35 UTC

17-Week (4-month) Bill auction — STRONG

17-Week (4-month) Bill auction — STRONG. B/C 3.41 (avg 2.85), high 3.891%, indirect 69.6% (avg 56.4), direct 4.5% (avg 4.8), dealer 25.9% (avg 38.8). STRONG demand → bonds BULLISH.

TREASURY AUCTION 07 Jul 2026, 17:10 UTC

3-Year Note auction — IN LINE

3-Year Note auction — IN LINE. B/C 2.60 (avg 2.61), high 4.179%, stopped through 0.6bp, indirect 67.5% (avg 62.5), direct 24.8% (avg 22.5), dealer 7.7% (avg 15.0). IN LINE demand →…

TREASURY AUCTION 07 Jul 2026, 15:35 UTC

52-Week (1-year) Bill auction — IN LINE

52-Week (1-year) Bill auction — IN LINE. B/C 3.14 (avg 3.29), high 4.032%, indirect 60.1% (avg 66.3), direct 4.6% (avg 3.3), dealer 35.3% (avg 30.4). IN LINE demand → bonds BEARISH…

TREASURY AUCTION 07 Jul 2026, 15:35 UTC

6-Week Bill auction — IN LINE

6-Week Bill auction — IN LINE. B/C 2.74 (avg 3.00), high 3.701%, indirect 63.5% (avg 62.5), direct 2.7% (avg 4.0), dealer 33.8% (avg 33.4). IN LINE demand → bonds BEARISH.

TREASURY AUCTION 06 Jul 2026, 15:44 UTC

13-Week (3-month) Bill auction — IN LINE

13-Week (3-month) Bill auction — IN LINE. B/C 2.58 (avg 2.67), high 3.823%, indirect 48.5% (avg 53.0), direct 7.7% (avg 6.1), dealer 43.8% (avg 40.9). IN LINE demand → bonds BEARIS…

TREASURY AUCTION 06 Jul 2026, 15:37 UTC

26-Week (6-month) Bill auction — STRONG

26-Week (6-month) Bill auction — STRONG. B/C 3.05 (avg 2.70), high 3.960%, indirect 59.8% (avg 57.9), direct 9.6% (avg 6.9), dealer 30.5% (avg 35.2). STRONG demand → bonds BULLISH.

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