US Inflation, Every Measure
monthly · on each CPI and PCE release
Core CPI, core PCE, supercore and the trimmed means on one chart, with every component behind them.
US economic data: releases, dates and live prints
These are the major indicators Helious captures in real time. Each hub below carries the next scheduled release date, the latest print with standard deviation scored against the forecast or prior number.
Helious data sets
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US Jobs, Every Sector
monthly · on each jobs report, claims and JOLTS releasePayrolls by sector, public and private, plus ADP, jobless claims and job openings. -
US Treasury Issuance and Cash
daily · on each Treasury statementHow much the government borrows each month, split into bills, notes and bonds, with the cash it holds at the Fed. -
The US Rate Path, Four Years Out
every 15 minutes in session · an intraday price, not a settlementWhat the market is paying for US rates four years out, next to the same contracts six and twelve months ago. -
Strait of Hormuz Daily Transits
twice daily · 8:30am + 3:30pm ETOur own daily count of vessels through the strait with the tanker split, a gauge of physical oil supply. -
FX Momentum Scorecard
twice daily · 8am + 2pm ETEach of the seven majors scored for strength against the whole basket, with 1-day and 5-day momentum. -
Implied Volatility Board
twice daily · 10am + 3pm ETWhere equity, rates, oil and gold volatility sit inside their own trailing-year ranges. -
Cross-Asset Correlations
twice daily · 10am + 3pm ETHow closely stocks, bonds, the dollar, gold, crude and credit move together, over four windows. -
Treasury Auction Tails
every auctionEvery note and bond auction with its real when-issued tail, bid-to-cover and bidder split.
US releases
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Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Monthly, ~mid-month for the prior month · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest 0.40%prior 0.10%as ofON THE SCREWS -
Core CPI (ex Food & Energy)
Monthly, released with headline CPI mid-month · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest 0.30%prior 0.20%as ofABOVE FORECAST -
PCE Price Index
Monthly, end of month with Personal Income & Outlays · 8:30 AM ETLatest 0.3prior 0.2as ofBELOW FORECAST -
Core PCE Price Index
Monthly, end of month with Personal Income & Outlays · 8:30 AM ETLatest 0.2prior 0.2as ofBELOW FORECAST -
Producer Price Index (PPI)
Monthly, ~mid-month, usually the day before or after CPI · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest 0.40%prior 0.00%as ofON THE SCREWS -
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
Monthly, first Friday (Employment Situation report) · 8:30 AM ETLatest 29Kprior 162Kas ofBELOW FORECAST -
Unemployment Rate
Monthly, first Friday with Nonfarm Payrolls · 8:30 AM ETLatest 4.2%prior 4.1%as ofABOVE FORECAST -
ADP Employment Change
Monthly, the Wednesday before Jobs Friday · 8:15 AM ETLatest 90Kprior 38Kas ofABOVE FORECAST -
Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly, every Thursday · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest 197Kprior 197Kas ofBELOW FORECAST -
JOLTS Job Openings
Monthly, ~5 weeks after the reference month · 10:00 AM ETLatest 7.08Mprior 7.27Mas ofBELOW FORECAST -
GDP Growth Rate
Quarterly, three vintages: advance (~month 1), second, third estimate · 8:30 AM ETLatest 2.2prior 1.5as ofABOVE FORECAST -
Atlanta Fed GDPNow
Updated 6-8 times per month after major data inputs · Typically 10:30 AM to 12:00 PM ET on input-release daysLatest 3.7%prior 3.7%as of -
Retail Sales
Monthly, ~mid-month for the prior month · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest 1.2prior -0.6as ofABOVE FORECAST -
ISM Manufacturing PMI
Monthly, first business day of the month · 10:00 AM ETLatest 54.5prior 54.6as ofBELOW FORECAST -
ISM Services PMI
Monthly, third business day of the month · 10:00 AM ETLatest 54.9prior 55.4as ofON THE SCREWS -
S&P Global US PMI (Flash & Final)
Flash ~3rd week of the month; final early the following month · 9:45 AM ETLatest 58.4prior 58.4as ofON THE SCREWS -
Durable Goods Orders
Monthly, ~fourth week of the month · 8:30 AM ETLatest 0prior 1.1as ofABOVE FORECAST -
Housing Starts
Monthly, ~mid-month, jointly with building permits · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest 1.27Mprior 1.24Mas ofON THE SCREWS -
Building Permits
Monthly, ~mid-month, jointly with housing starts · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest 1.39Mprior 1.44Mas ofON THE SCREWS -
Existing Home Sales
Monthly, ~third week for the prior month · 10:00 AM ET · nextLatest 3.98Mprior 4.06Mas ofON THE SCREWS -
New Home Sales
Monthly, ~fourth week for the prior month · 10:00 AM ETLatest 0.68Mprior 0.61Mas ofABOVE FORECAST -
CB Consumer Confidence
Monthly, last Tuesday of the month · 10:00 AM ETLatest 81.9prior 89.4as ofBELOW FORECAST -
Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Twice monthly: preliminary mid-month Friday, final end of month · 10:00 AM ET · nextLatest 48.1prior 47.8as ofABOVE FORECAST -
Trade Balance
Monthly, ~first week for the month two prior · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest -88.6Bprior -73.3Bas ofABOVE FORECAST -
Continuing Jobless Claims
Weekly, every Thursday, in the initial claims report · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest 1.70Mprior 1.72Mas ofBELOW FORECAST -
Initial Jobless Claims 4-Week Average
Weekly, every Thursday, in the initial claims report · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest 200Kprior 202Kas ofON THE SCREWS -
ADP Employment Change 4-Week Average
Weekly, every Tuesday · 8:15 AM ET · nextLatest 20Kprior 16Kas ofABOVE PRIOR -
Personal Income
Monthly, end of month with Personal Income & Outlays · 8:30 AM ETLatest 0.2prior 0.4as ofBELOW FORECAST -
Personal Spending
Monthly, end of month with Personal Income & Outlays · 8:30 AM ETLatest 0.9prior 0.2as ofABOVE FORECAST -
Wholesale Inventories
Monthly, two vintages: advance ~end of month, final ~two weeks later · 8:30 AM ET advance; 10:00 AM ET final · nextLatest 0.7prior 1.3as ofBELOW FORECAST -
Core Capital Goods Orders (Nondefense ex Aircraft)
Monthly, ~fourth week within the durable goods report · 8:30 AM ETLatest 1.6%prior 0.2%as ofABOVE FORECAST -
Housing Price Index (MoM)
Monthly, ~last Tuesday for the month two prior · 9:00 AM ETLatest 0.3prior 0as ofABOVE FORECAST -
Case-Shiller Home Price Index (YoY)
Monthly, last Tuesday for the month two prior · 9:00 AM ETLatest 2.5prior 2.1as ofABOVE FORECAST -
MBA Mortgage Applications
Weekly, every Wednesday · 7:00 AM ET · nextLatest -6.0%prior -1.5%as ofBELOW PRIOR -
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Monthly, ~fourth Tuesday for the current month · 10:00 AM ETLatest -2prior 4as ofBELOW FORECAST -
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Activity
Monthly, ~fourth Thursday for the current month · 11:00 AM ETLatest 20prior 17as ofABOVE PRIOR -
Chicago PMI
Monthly, last business day of the month · 9:45 AM ETLatest 58.8prior 47.1as ofABOVE FORECAST -
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Monthly, ~three to four weeks after the reference month · 8:30 AM ETLatest -0.04prior -0.08as ofABOVE PRIOR -
Michigan Consumer Expectations
Twice monthly: preliminary mid-month Friday, final end of month, with the sentiment report · 10:00 AM ET · nextLatest 46.3prior 45.8as ofON THE SCREWS -
Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations
Twice monthly: preliminary mid-month Friday, final end of month, with the sentiment report · 10:00 AM ET · nextLatest 4.6prior 4.6as ofON THE SCREWS -
Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations
Twice monthly: preliminary mid-month Friday, final end of month, with the sentiment report · 10:00 AM ET · nextLatest 3.4prior 3.4as ofON THE SCREWS -
EIA Crude Oil Inventories
Weekly, every Wednesday (shifts a day on holiday weeks) · 10:30 AM ET · nextLatest 0.92Mprior 2.97Mas ofABOVE FORECAST -
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
Weekly, every Wednesday (shifts a day on holiday weeks) · 10:30 AM ET · nextLatest -1.68Mprior -1.69Mas ofON THE SCREWS -
EIA Distillate Stocks Change
Weekly, every Wednesday (shifts a day on holiday weeks) · 10:30 AM ET · nextLatest -2.25Mprior -0.43Mas ofBELOW PRIOR -
EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change
Weekly, every Wednesday (shifts a day on holiday weeks) · 10:30 AM ET · nextLatest -0.62Mprior 0.35Mas ofBELOW PRIOR -
EIA Natural Gas Storage
Weekly, every Thursday · 10:30 AM ET · nextLatest 64.0Bprior 53.0Bas ofON THE SCREWS -
Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count
Weekly, every Friday · 1:00 PM ET · nextLatest 456prior 455as ofON THE SCREWS -
Goods Trade Balance
Monthly, ~end of month, about a week before the full trade report · 8:30 AM ET · nextLatest -132.6Bprior -119.6Bas ofBELOW FORECAST -
Redbook Index
Weekly, every Tuesday · 8:55 AM ET · nextLatest 8.2prior 7.6as ofABOVE PRIOR
Industrial Production has no captured print yet. Its cadence is Monthly, ~mid-month (G.17 release), at 9:15 AM ET, and the next release is . It joins the table above on its first capture.