CB Consumer Confidence last printed 91.3 on Thu, Jul 2, 2026 against a 94.4 consensus forecast and a 93.1 prior, a -0.6 sigma surprise. The next release is Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Published by The Conference Board, captured live by Helious.
The Conference Board index leans on labor-market perceptions: the 'jobs plentiful minus jobs hard-to-get' spread is a tracked leading indicator for the unemployment rate. It complements Michigan (which skews toward inflation and finances) rather than duplicating it. Big drops in the expectations component historically precede spending slowdowns.
A confidence beat is mildly bearish Treasuries via the consumer-strength channel. The labor differential subindex can move rates more than the headline when the jobs debate is live. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the σ surprise is computed.
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Jul 2, 2026 | 91.3 | 94.4 | 93.1 | -0.60σ | BELOW FORECAST |
History accumulates from the desk's live capture (began July 2026). Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed.
Primary source: The Conference Board · released monthly, last tuesday of the month at 10:00 AM ET · download the history (CSV), free to cite with a link to this page.
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