Michigan Consumer Sentiment: release dates, results and history
Michigan Consumer Sentiment last printed 48.1 on Fri, Sep 25, 2026 against a 47.6 consensus forecast and a 47.8 prior, a +0.24 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Friday, October 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
The sentiment headline is the secondary number here. What the market actually trades are the inflation expectations inside the same report, the 1-year and the 5-10-year series. The Fed watches both for signs that expectations are coming loose, what it calls de-anchoring, and Powell has cited them at press conferences. If you only look at one of the two releases, look at the preliminary. The final revision rarely says anything the first one did not.
The trend
How it moves Treasuries
If inflation expectations jump, Treasuries sell off, and it does not matter what the sentiment headline did that month. A real de-anchoring scare does its damage at the long end. Soft expectations work the other way and support the bid. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.1 | 47.6 | 47.8 | +0.24 | ABOVE FORECAST | |
| 47.8 | 51.0 | 51.7 | -1.52 | BELOW FORECAST | |
| 51.7 | 51.0 | 51.0 | +0.33 | ABOVE FORECAST | |
| 51.0 | 54.5 | 55.2 | -1.67 | BELOW FORECAST | |
| 55.2 | 54.0 | 54.4 | +0.57 | ABOVE FORECAST | |
| 54.4 | 51.0 | 49.5 | +1.62 | ABOVE FORECAST |
The 6 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
| PERIOD | VALUE (INDEX) | PRIOR | CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51.7 | 55.2 | -3.5 | |
| 55.2 | 49.5 | +5.7 | |
| 49.5 | 44.8 | +4.7 | |
| 44.8 | 49.8 | -5 | |
| 49.8 | 53.3 | -3.5 | |
| 53.3 | 56.6 | -3.3 | |
| 56.6 | 56.4 | +0.2 | |
| 56.4 | 52.9 | +3.5 |
These are the most recent official rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment each number landed.
Related indicators
Twice monthly: preliminary mid-month Friday, final end of month · 10:00 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.