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ISM Services PMI: release dates, results and history

ISM Services PMI last printed 55.4 on Thu, Sep 3, 2026 against a 54.3 consensus forecast and a 54.1 prior, a +0.73 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Monday, October 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

Services are most of the US economy, so this survey carries more macro weight than the manufacturing one. The prices subindex is the part everyone watches, a stand-in for services inflation. That is the sticky part the Fed keeps worrying about. Surprise contractions here have set off some of the sharpest data-day bond rallies of the past few years.

NEXT RELEASE
Consensus forecast: 55.7
Next release --:--
LATEST PRINT:
55.4
actual
54.3
forecast
54.1
prior
+0.73
std dev vs forecast
SLIGHT BEAT
Full print analysis →
Surprise vs forecast
+0.73 std dev SLIGHT BEAT
-2-10+1+2
Printed above forecast. That gap is 0.73 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.

The trend

DESK-CAPTURED PRINTS · LAST 3
Every print the desk has captured for this series, drawn as a trend. The graded history, with consensus and the standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the Helious API.

How it moves Treasuries

A services beat pushes yields up, and a hot prices component adds to it because that is where the sticky inflation shows. A surprise print below 50 rallies bonds hard. Services rarely weaken at all, and when they do it is late in the cycle. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.

Recent prints, as captured by the desk

DATEACTUALFORECASTPRIORSURPRISE (SD)PRINT
55.4 54.3 54.1 +0.73 ABOVE FORECAST
54.1 54.5 54.0 -0.27 BELOW FORECAST
54.0 54.2 54.5 -0.13 ON THE SCREWS

The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.

Monthly, third business day of the month · 10:00 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.

Catch the next print live →