ISM Services PMI last printed 70.3 on Wed, Aug 5, 2026 against a 67.7 prior, a +0.87 sigma surprise. The next release is Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Published by Institute for Supply Management, captured live by Helious.
Services is where the US economy actually lives, so ISM Services carries more macro weight than its manufacturing sibling. The prices subindex is a watched proxy for services inflation: the sticky part the Fed frets about. Surprise contractions here have produced some of the sharpest data-day bond rallies in recent years.
A services beat is bearish Treasuries, and a hot prices component compounds it via the sticky-inflation channel. Sub-50 surprises rally bonds hard because services weakness is rare and late-cycle. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the σ surprise is computed.
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Aug 5, 2026 | 70.3 | — | 67.7 | +0.87σ | ABOVE FORECAST |
| Wed, Aug 5, 2026 | 57.2 | — | 55.1 | +0.53σ | ABOVE FORECAST |
| Wed, Aug 5, 2026 | 47.4 | — | 51.2 | -1.27σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Wed, Aug 5, 2026 | 54.1 | 54.5 | 54.0 | -0.27σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Fri, Jul 10, 2026 | 54.0 | 54.2 | 54.5 | -0.13σ | ON THE SCREWS |
| Mon, Jul 6, 2026 | 67.7 | — | 71.3 | -1.20σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Mon, Jul 6, 2026 | 55.1 | — | 57.3 | -0.55σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Mon, Jul 6, 2026 | 51.2 | — | 47.9 | +1.10σ | ABOVE FORECAST |
History accumulates from the desk's live capture (began July 2026). Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed.
Primary source: Institute for Supply Management · released monthly, third business day of the month at 10:00 AM ET · download the history (CSV), free to cite with a link to this page.
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