S&P Global US PMI (Flash & Final) last printed 54.5 on Wed, Aug 5, 2026 against a 53.6 consensus forecast and a 53.6 prior, a +1 sigma surprise. The next release is Friday, August 21, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. Published by S&P Global, captured live by Helious.
The flash PMI is the earliest look at the current month's activity: it covers the month you're actually in, weeks ahead of ISM. Desks trade the flash; the final revision is usually a non-event. The composite and its price subindices give a same-month growth-plus-inflation read nothing else provides that early.
Stronger flash PMIs are bearish Treasuries, with the composite mattering more than either sector alone. Reaction size is modest unless the print breaks the prevailing narrative. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the σ surprise is computed.
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Aug 5, 2026 | 54.5 | 53.6 | 53.6 | +1.00σ | ABOVE FORECAST |
| Wed, Aug 5, 2026 | 54.6 | 53.6 | 53.6 | +1.11σ | ABOVE FORECAST |
| Mon, Aug 3, 2026 | 53.9 | 53.8 | 53.8 | +0.11σ | ON THE SCREWS |
| Fri, Jul 24, 2026 | 53.8 | 54.5 | 53.9 | -0.78σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Fri, Jul 24, 2026 | 53.6 | — | 51.9 | — | ON THE SCREWS |
| Fri, Jul 24, 2026 | 53.6 | 51.0 | 51.2 | +2.89σ | ABOVE FORECAST |
| Fri, Jul 10, 2026 | 51.2 | 51.4 | 51.3 | -0.22σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Mon, Jul 6, 2026 | 51.9 | 52.2 | 52.2 | — | ON THE SCREWS |
History accumulates from the desk's live capture (began July 2026). Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed.
Primary source: S&P Global · released flash ~3rd week of the month; final early the following month at 9:45 AM ET · download the history (CSV), free to cite with a link to this page.
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