Existing Home Sales last printed 4.06M on Tue, Aug 11, 2026 against a 4.05M consensus forecast and a 4.09M prior, a +0.08 sigma surprise. Published by National Association of Realtors, captured live by Helious.
Existing sales are ~90% of the housing market and the purest demand read on where mortgage rates have pushed buyers. Counted at closing, so it reflects contracts signed one to two months back. It lags rates by design. Inventory months-of-supply and median price in the same release frame the affordability story.
Rarely a Treasury mover on its own; a sales beat leans mildly bearish. Its value is confirming whether rate relief or rate pain is actually reaching the real economy. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the σ surprise is computed.
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Aug 11, 2026 | 4.06M | 4.05M | 4.09M | +0.08σ | ON THE SCREWS |
| Thu, Jul 9, 2026 | 4.09M | — | 4.17M | — | ON THE SCREWS |
History accumulates from the desk's live capture (began July 2026). Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed.
| PERIOD | VALUE (UNITS SAAR) | PRIOR | CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | 4.06M | 4.13M | -0.07M |
| 2026-06-01 | 4.13M | 4.19M | -0.06M |
| 2026-05-01 | 4.19M | 4.04M | +0.15M |
| 2026-04-01 | 4.04M | 4.01M | +0.03M |
| 2026-03-01 | 4.01M | 4.13M | -0.12M |
| 2026-02-01 | 4.13M | 4.02M | +0.11M |
| 2026-01-01 | 4.02M | 4.27M | -0.25M |
| 2025-12-01 | 4.27M | 4.09M | +0.18M |
| 2025-11-01 | 4.09M | 4.11M | -0.02M |
| 2025-10-01 | 4.11M | 4.08M | +0.03M |
| 2025-09-01 | 4.08M | 4.03M | +0.05M |
| 2025-08-01 | 4.03M | 4.03M | +0.00M |
| 2025-07-01 | 4.03M | — | — |
Official published series (EXHOSLUSM495S) via FRED, National Association of Realtors data. Desk-captured prints above include the consensus forecast and σ surprise the moment each number landed.
Primary source: National Association of Realtors · released monthly, ~third week for the prior month at 10:00 AM ET · download the history (CSV), free to cite with a link to this page.
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