New Home Sales last printed 0.63M on Fri, Jul 24, 2026 against a 0.61M consensus forecast and a 0.58M prior, a 0 sigma surprise. The next release is Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Published by US Census Bureau, captured live by Helious.
New home sales are counted at contract signing, not closing, so they react to mortgage-rate moves a month or two before existing sales do. That makes this the timelier housing demand signal despite huge revisions and wide confidence intervals. Builder incentives and rate buydowns show up here first.
A beat is mildly bearish Treasuries; single prints get discounted because the series is noisy and heavily revised. Trend breaks matter, monthly wiggles don't. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the σ surprise is computed.
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 24, 2026 | 0.63M | 0.61M | 0.58M | 0.00σ | ON THE SCREWS |
History accumulates from the desk's live capture (began July 2026). Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed.
| PERIOD | VALUE (K UNITS SAAR) | PRIOR | CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | 628K | 618K | +10K |
| 2026-05-01 | 618K | 646K | -28K |
| 2026-04-01 | 646K | 659K | -13K |
| 2026-03-01 | 659K | 630K | +29K |
| 2026-02-01 | 630K | 576K | +54K |
| 2026-01-01 | 576K | 723K | -147K |
| 2025-12-01 | 723K | 757K | -34K |
| 2025-11-01 | 757K | 652K | +105K |
| 2025-10-01 | 652K | 714K | -62K |
| 2025-09-01 | 714K | 698K | +16K |
| 2025-08-01 | 698K | 648K | +50K |
| 2025-07-01 | 648K | 665K | -17K |
| 2025-06-01 | 665K | 622K | +43K |
| 2025-05-01 | 622K | 701K | -79K |
| 2025-04-01 | 701K | 656K | +45K |
| 2025-03-01 | 656K | 641K | +15K |
| 2025-02-01 | 641K | 665K | -24K |
| 2025-01-01 | 665K | 702K | -37K |
| 2024-12-01 | 702K | 669K | +33K |
| 2024-11-01 | 669K | 632K | +37K |
| 2024-10-01 | 632K | 715K | -83K |
| 2024-09-01 | 715K | 687K | +28K |
| 2024-08-01 | 687K | 732K | -45K |
| 2024-07-01 | 732K | 683K | +49K |
| 2024-06-01 | 683K | 670K | +13K |
| 2024-05-01 | 670K | 706K | -36K |
| 2024-04-01 | 706K | 681K | +25K |
| 2024-03-01 | 681K | 653K | +28K |
| 2024-02-01 | 653K | 683K | -30K |
| 2024-01-01 | 683K | 634K | +49K |
| 2023-12-01 | 634K | 607K | +27K |
| 2023-11-01 | 607K | 689K | -82K |
| 2023-10-01 | 689K | 682K | +7K |
| 2023-09-01 | 682K | 645K | +37K |
| 2023-08-01 | 645K | 727K | -82K |
| 2023-07-01 | 727K | 687K | +40K |
Official published series (HSN1F) via FRED, US Census Bureau data. Desk-captured prints above include the consensus forecast and σ surprise the moment each number landed.
Primary source: US Census Bureau · released monthly, ~fourth week for the prior month at 10:00 AM ET · download the history (CSV), free to cite with a link to this page.
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