Consumer Price Index (CPI) last printed 333.92 on Wed, Aug 12, 2026 against a 333.99 consensus forecast and a 333.95 prior, a -0.14 sigma surprise. The next release is Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Published by Bureau of Labor Statistics, captured live by Helious.
CPI is the single most bond-market-moving release on the calendar. It sets the market's read on whether inflation is sticky or cooling, which feeds straight into Fed cut/hike pricing. Every desk trades the 8:30 print. The first tick after release is often the day's biggest move.
Hotter-than-expected CPI is bearish Treasuries: yields jump, led by the front end. A ±0.1% surprise vs consensus on the monthly print typically moves the 10-year around 4bps. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the σ surprise is computed.
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Aug 12, 2026 | 333.92 | 333.99 | 333.95 | -0.14σ | ON THE SCREWS |
| Wed, Aug 12, 2026 | 336.79 | — | 336.06 | +1.46σ | ABOVE FORECAST |
| Wed, Aug 12, 2026 | 0.10% | 0.10% | -0.40% | 0.00σ | ON THE SCREWS |
| Wed, Aug 12, 2026 | 333.92% | 333.99% | 333.95% | -0.47σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Tue, Jul 14, 2026 | 336.07 | — | 336.121 | — | ON THE SCREWS |
| Tue, Jul 14, 2026 | 333.95 | 334.7 | 335.12 | — | ON THE SCREWS |
| Tue, Jul 14, 2026 | -0.40% | -0.10% | 0.50% | -3.75σ | BELOW FORECAST |
History accumulates from the desk's live capture (began July 2026). Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed.
| PERIOD | VALUE (% M/M) | Y/Y | PRIOR | CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | +0.07% | 3.3% | -0.42% | +0.49% |
| 2026-06-01 | -0.42% | 3.5% | +0.47% | -0.89% |
| 2026-05-01 | +0.47% | 4.2% | +0.64% | -0.17% |
| 2026-04-01 | +0.64% | 3.8% | +0.87% | -0.23% |
| 2026-03-01 | +0.87% | 3.3% | +0.27% | +0.6% |
| 2026-02-01 | +0.27% | 2.4% | +0.17% | +0.1% |
| 2026-01-01 | +0.17% | 2.4% | +0.3% | -0.13% |
| 2025-12-01 | +0.3% | 2.7% | +0.3% | +0% |
| 2025-09-01 | +0.3% | 3.0% | +0.35% | -0.05% |
| 2025-08-01 | +0.35% | 2.9% | +0.23% | +0.12% |
| 2025-07-01 | +0.23% | 2.7% | +0.25% | -0.02% |
| 2025-06-01 | +0.25% | 2.7% | +0.1% | +0.15% |
| 2025-05-01 | +0.1% | 2.4% | +0.16% | -0.06% |
| 2025-04-01 | +0.16% | 2.3% | +0.03% | +0.13% |
| 2025-03-01 | +0.03% | 2.4% | +0.23% | -0.2% |
| 2025-02-01 | +0.23% | 2.8% | +0.43% | -0.2% |
| 2025-01-01 | +0.43% | 3.0% | +0.34% | +0.09% |
| 2024-12-01 | +0.34% | 2.9% | +0.28% | +0.06% |
| 2024-11-01 | +0.28% | 2.7% | +0.29% | -0.01% |
| 2024-10-01 | +0.29% | 2.6% | +0.21% | +0.08% |
| 2024-09-01 | +0.21% | 2.4% | +0.16% | +0.05% |
| 2024-08-01 | +0.16% | 2.6% | +0.17% | -0.01% |
| 2024-07-01 | +0.17% | 2.9% | -0.04% | +0.21% |
| 2024-06-01 | -0.04% | 3.0% | +0.05% | -0.09% |
| 2024-05-01 | +0.05% | 3.2% | +0.22% | -0.17% |
| 2024-04-01 | +0.22% | 3.4% | +0.44% | -0.22% |
| 2024-03-01 | +0.44% | 3.5% | +0.41% | +0.03% |
| 2024-02-01 | +0.41% | 3.2% | +0.31% | +0.1% |
| 2024-01-01 | +0.31% | 3.1% | +0.19% | +0.12% |
| 2023-12-01 | +0.19% | 3.3% | +0.15% | +0.04% |
| 2023-11-01 | +0.15% | 3.1% | +0.14% | +0.01% |
| 2023-10-01 | +0.14% | 3.3% | +0.39% | -0.25% |
| 2023-09-01 | +0.39% | 3.7% | +0.48% | -0.09% |
| 2023-08-01 | +0.48% | 3.7% | +0.2% | +0.28% |
| 2023-07-01 | +0.2% | 3.3% | — | — |
Official published series (CPIAUCSL) via FRED, Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Desk-captured prints above include the consensus forecast and σ surprise the moment each number landed.
Primary source: Bureau of Labor Statistics · released monthly, ~mid-month for the prior month at 8:30 AM ET · download the history (CSV), free to cite with a link to this page.
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