Producer Price Index (PPI) last printed 4.2% on Thu, Aug 13, 2026 against a 4.2% consensus forecast and a 4.7% prior, a 0 sigma surprise. The next release is Friday, September 11, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Published by Bureau of Labor Statistics, captured live by Helious.
PPI is pipeline inflation: what producers are charging before it hits consumers. Desks care most about the components that feed directly into core PCE (portfolio management, healthcare, airfares), so PPI day is really about refining the PCE forecast. A hot PPI after a hot CPI compounds the repricing.
Hotter PPI is bearish Treasuries, though the standalone move is smaller than CPI's. The kicker comes when PCE-relevant components surprise. That shifts core PCE estimates and rates follow. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the σ surprise is computed.
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Aug 13, 2026 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 0.00σ | ON THE SCREWS |
| Thu, Aug 13, 2026 | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | -1.00σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Thu, Aug 13, 2026 | 0.00% | 0.20% | -0.30% | -1.43σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Thu, Aug 13, 2026 | 0.20% | 0.30% | 0.20% | -0.91σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Wed, Jul 15, 2026 | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | -2.78σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Wed, Jul 15, 2026 | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | -3.50σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Wed, Jul 15, 2026 | 0.20% | 0.40% | 0.40% | -1.82σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Wed, Jul 15, 2026 | -0.28% | 0.00% | 1.10% | -2.00σ | BELOW FORECAST |
History accumulates from the desk's live capture (began July 2026). Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed.
| PERIOD | VALUE (% M/M) | PRIOR | CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | -0.03% | -0.11% | +0.08% |
| 2026-06-01 | -0.11% | +0.45% | -0.56% |
| 2026-05-01 | +0.45% | +1.09% | -0.64% |
| 2026-04-01 | +1.09% | +0.78% | +0.31% |
| 2026-03-01 | +0.78% | +0.48% | +0.3% |
| 2026-02-01 | +0.48% | +0.58% | -0.1% |
| 2026-01-01 | +0.58% | +0.36% | +0.22% |
| 2025-12-01 | +0.36% | +0.41% | -0.05% |
| 2025-11-01 | +0.41% | +0.13% | +0.28% |
| 2025-10-01 | +0.13% | +0.61% | -0.48% |
| 2025-09-01 | +0.61% | -0.18% | +0.79% |
| 2025-08-01 | -0.18% | +0.81% | -0.99% |
| 2025-07-01 | +0.81% | +0.16% | +0.65% |
| 2025-06-01 | +0.16% | +0.34% | -0.18% |
| 2025-05-01 | +0.34% | -0.27% | +0.61% |
| 2025-04-01 | -0.27% | -0.12% | -0.15% |
| 2025-03-01 | -0.12% | +0.17% | -0.29% |
| 2025-02-01 | +0.17% | +0.63% | -0.46% |
| 2025-01-01 | +0.63% | +0.41% | +0.22% |
| 2024-12-01 | +0.41% | +0.1% | +0.31% |
| 2024-11-01 | +0.1% | +0.34% | -0.24% |
| 2024-10-01 | +0.34% | +0.27% | +0.07% |
| 2024-09-01 | +0.27% | +0.34% | -0.07% |
| 2024-08-01 | +0.34% | +0.04% | +0.3% |
| 2024-07-01 | +0.04% | +0.45% | -0.41% |
| 2024-06-01 | +0.45% | +0.02% | +0.43% |
| 2024-05-01 | +0.02% | +0.47% | -0.45% |
| 2024-04-01 | +0.47% | +0.12% | +0.35% |
| 2024-03-01 | +0.12% | +0.55% | -0.43% |
| 2024-02-01 | +0.55% | +0.29% | +0.26% |
| 2024-01-01 | +0.29% | -0.12% | +0.41% |
| 2023-12-01 | -0.12% | +0.06% | -0.18% |
| 2023-11-01 | +0.06% | -0.35% | +0.41% |
| 2023-10-01 | -0.35% | +0.24% | -0.59% |
| 2023-09-01 | +0.24% | +0.65% | -0.41% |
| 2023-08-01 | +0.65% | +0.56% | +0.09% |
Official published series (PPIFIS) via FRED, Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Desk-captured prints above include the consensus forecast and σ surprise the moment each number landed.
Primary source: Bureau of Labor Statistics · released monthly, ~mid-month, usually the day before or after cpi at 8:30 AM ET · download the history (CSV), free to cite with a link to this page.
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