Durable Goods Orders: release dates, results and history
Durable Goods Orders last printed 0 on Fri, Sep 25, 2026 against a -0.4 consensus forecast and a 1.1 prior, a +0.28 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Headline durables is at the mercy of aircraft orders. One month of Boeing orders can swing it by double digits. Read core capital goods orders instead, meaning nondefense excluding aircraft, which is the cleanest monthly proxy for business capex. Desks skip the headline entirely and go straight to core shipments, because shipments are the piece that feeds GDP.
The trend
How it moves Treasuries
Treasuries sell off a little when core capex beats. Headline swings get discounted heavily for transportation noise. Left on its own, this release rarely moves rates much. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | -0.4 | 1.1 | +0.28 | ABOVE FORECAST | |
| 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | +0.28 | ABOVE FORECAST | |
| 0.3 | 1.6 | -4.5 | -0.90 | BELOW FORECAST |
The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
| PERIOD | VALUE (% M/M) | PRIOR |
|---|---|---|
| -0.07% | +0.87% | |
| +0.87% | +0.58% | |
| +0.58% | -4% | |
| -4% | +8.51% | |
| +8.51% | +1.34% | |
| +1.34% | -1.17% | |
| -1.17% | -0.43% | |
| -0.43% | -0.91% |
These are the most recent official rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment each number landed.
Related indicators
Monthly, ~fourth week of the month · 8:30 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.