Durable Goods Orders last printed 0.3 on Mon, Jul 27, 2026 against a -4.6 prior. The next release is Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Published by US Census Bureau, captured live by Helious.
Headline durables is hostage to aircraft orders. A single Boeing month can swing it double digits. The number that matters is core capital goods orders (nondefense ex-aircraft), the cleanest monthly proxy for business capex. Desks skip the headline and go straight to the core shipments figure that feeds GDP.
A core capex beat is mildly bearish Treasuries; headline swings get heavily discounted for transportation noise. Rarely a big rates mover on its own. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the σ surprise is computed.
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Jul 27, 2026 | 0.3 | — | -4.6 | — | ABOVE FORECAST |
| Mon, Jul 27, 2026 | 0.3 | 1.6 | -4.5 | -0.90σ | BELOW FORECAST |
| Mon, Jul 27, 2026 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | -0.86σ | BELOW FORECAST |
History accumulates from the desk's live capture (began July 2026). Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed.
| PERIOD | VALUE (% M/M) | PRIOR | CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | +0.47% | -4% | +4.47% |
| 2026-05-01 | -4% | +8.51% | -12.51% |
| 2026-04-01 | +8.51% | +1.34% | +7.17% |
| 2026-03-01 | +1.34% | -1.17% | +2.51% |
| 2026-02-01 | -1.17% | -0.43% | -0.74% |
| 2026-01-01 | -0.43% | -0.91% | +0.48% |
| 2025-12-01 | -0.91% | +5.44% | -6.35% |
| 2025-11-01 | +5.44% | -2.09% | +7.53% |
| 2025-10-01 | -2.09% | +0.64% | -2.73% |
| 2025-09-01 | +0.64% | +3% | -2.36% |
| 2025-08-01 | +3% | -2.8% | +5.8% |
| 2025-07-01 | -2.8% | -9.39% | +6.59% |
| 2025-06-01 | -9.39% | +16.54% | -25.93% |
| 2025-05-01 | +16.54% | -6.64% | +23.18% |
| 2025-04-01 | -6.64% | +7.56% | -14.2% |
| 2025-03-01 | +7.56% | +0.96% | +6.6% |
| 2025-02-01 | +0.96% | +0.22% | +0.74% |
| 2025-01-01 | +0.22% | +0.77% | -0.55% |
| 2024-12-01 | +0.77% | -1.68% | +2.45% |
| 2024-11-01 | -1.68% | +0.27% | -1.95% |
| 2024-10-01 | +0.27% | +0.88% | -0.61% |
| 2024-09-01 | +0.88% | -1.13% | +2.01% |
| 2024-08-01 | -1.13% | +4.31% | -5.44% |
| 2024-07-01 | +4.31% | -1.99% | +6.3% |
| 2024-06-01 | -1.99% | -0.05% | -1.94% |
| 2024-05-01 | -0.05% | -0.16% | +0.11% |
| 2024-04-01 | -0.16% | +1.7% | -1.86% |
| 2024-03-01 | +1.7% | +0.72% | +0.98% |
| 2024-02-01 | +0.72% | -7.79% | +8.51% |
| 2024-01-01 | -7.79% | +1.93% | -9.72% |
| 2023-12-01 | +1.93% | +4.4% | -2.47% |
| 2023-11-01 | +4.4% | -4.11% | +8.51% |
| 2023-10-01 | -4.11% | +3.15% | -7.26% |
| 2023-09-01 | +3.15% | -1.42% | +4.57% |
| 2023-08-01 | -1.42% | -3.52% | +2.1% |
| 2023-07-01 | -3.52% | +4.92% | -8.44% |
Official published series (DGORDER) via FRED, US Census Bureau data. Desk-captured prints above include the consensus forecast and σ surprise the moment each number landed.
Primary source: US Census Bureau · released monthly, ~fourth week of the month at 8:30 AM ET · download the history (CSV), free to cite with a link to this page.
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