Atlanta Fed GDPNow: release dates, results and history
Atlanta Fed GDPNow last printed 3.7% on Thu, Oct 1, 2026 against a 3.7% prior. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
GDPNow is a running estimate of growth in the quarter now under way. A model rebuilds it after every data input and no one adjusts the answer by hand. Traders quote it as shorthand for where growth is tracking, and a sharp revision makes headlines and moves risk sentiment, most of all early in the quarter. It is noisy at that stage, and it settles as more of the quarter's data lands.
The trend
How it moves Treasuries
A big downward revision feeds the growth-scare bid in Treasuries, money running into government paper because growth looks shaky. Upward lurches lean bearish. Either way the nowcast is amplifying whatever the data release behind it already did rather than landing as a shock of its own. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.7% | — | 3.7% | — | view | |
| 3.7% | — | 5.0% | — | BELOW PRIOR | |
| 5.0% | — | 5.1% | — | BELOW PRIOR | |
| 5.1% | — | 5.1% | — | view | |
| 5.1% | — | 4.4% | — | ABOVE PRIOR | |
| 4.4% | — | 4.7% | — | BELOW PRIOR |
The 6 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
| PERIOD | VALUE (% NOWCAST) | PRIOR |
|---|---|---|
| +3.68% | +1.54% | |
| +1.54% | +1.24% | |
| +1.24% | +4.24% | |
| +4.24% | +3.47% | |
| +3.47% | +2.9% | |
| +2.9% | -2.73% | |
| -2.73% | +2.27% | |
| +2.27% | +2.79% |
These are the most recent official rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment each number landed.
Related indicators
Updated 6-8 times per month after major data inputs · Typically 10:30 AM to 12:00 PM ET on input-release days · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.