Core Capital Goods Orders (Nondefense ex Aircraft): release dates, results and history
Core Capital Goods Orders (Nondefense ex Aircraft) last printed 1.6% on Fri, Sep 25, 2026 against a 0.5% consensus forecast and a 0.2% prior, a +2.2 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Aircraft orders arrive in lumps and defense orders are noisy. Take both out of the durable goods report and what is left is core capital goods orders, nondefense ex aircraft, which is firms committing money to new equipment and not much else. There is no cleaner monthly read on business capex. It leads the equipment-investment line in GDP, and it rolls over early when boardrooms turn cautious, so the trend gets watched as a cycle signal. Find this line first when the durables report lands. The headline can wait.
Printed above forecast. That gap is 2.20 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.
The trend
OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 36 OBSERVATIONS · % M/M
+3.82%0-1.52%
2023-092026-08
The official published series at its current vintage, revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history, with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the Helious API.
How it moves Treasuries
A beat firms up the growth picture, which is mildly bearish Treasuries. A miss feeds the slowdown bid. Neither is worth much on a single month. The series is noisy enough that the three-month trend is the only part you can trade. See it scored live on the Helious desk,
or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
PERIOD
VALUE (% M/M)
PRIOR
+1.56%
+0.63%
+0.63%
+1.66%
+1.66%
+1.91%
+1.91%
-0.62%
-0.62%
+3.82%
+3.82%
+1.58%
+1.58%
-0.34%
-0.34%
+0.82%
These are the most recent official
rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up
the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment
each number landed.
FAQ
What was the latest Core Capital Goods Orders (Nondefense ex Aircraft) print?
Core Capital Goods Orders (Nondefense ex Aircraft) last printed 1.6% on Fri, Sep 25, 2026 against a 0.5% consensus forecast and a 0.2% prior, a +2.2 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
When is the next Core Capital Goods Orders (Nondefense ex Aircraft) release?
The next Core Capital Goods Orders (Nondefense ex Aircraft) release is Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Helious posts the print, the surprise against consensus and a verdict the second it lands.
Was the latest Core Capital Goods Orders (Nondefense ex Aircraft) print a beat or a miss?
It printed above the consensus forecast: 1.6% against 0.5%, a +2.2 standard-deviation surprise. The standard deviation is measured against this indicator's own history of consensus misses, so the same gap means more on a series that rarely surprises.
