Core Capital Goods Orders (Nondefense ex Aircraft): Release Dates, Results & History
Core Capital Goods Orders (Nondefense ex Aircraft) last printed 0.2% on Wed, Aug 26, 2026 against a 0.9% prior. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Core capital goods orders, nondefense ex aircraft, are the cleanest monthly proxy for business capex: no aircraft lumps, no defense noise, just firms committing to new equipment. The series leads the equipment-investment line in GDP and rolls over early when boardrooms turn cautious, which makes its trend a favored cycle signal. Desks read this line first and the headline durables number second.
The trend, at a glance
How it moves Treasuries
A core capex beat is mildly bearish Treasuries as the growth picture firms; misses feed the slowdown bid. Single months are noisy, so the three-month trend is the tradeable signal. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2% | — | 0.9% | — | BELOW PRIOR | |
| 0.9 | — | 1.6 | — | BELOW PRIOR |
The 2 most recent prints from the desk's live capture (began July 2026), a sample. Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed; the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
| PERIOD | VALUE (% M/M) | PRIOR |
|---|---|---|
| +0.2% | +1.67% | |
| +1.67% | +1.91% | |
| +1.91% | -0.62% | |
| -0.62% | +3.82% | |
| +3.82% | +1.58% | |
| +1.58% | -0.34% | |
| -0.34% | +0.82% | |
| +0.82% | +0.86% |
The most recent official rows; the chart above draws the longer series. Desk-captured prints above include the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise the moment each number landed.
Monthly, ~fourth week within the durable goods report · 8:30 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.