Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations last printed 4.7 on Fri, Oct 9, 2026 against a 4.6 prior. The next release is Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
The consumer survey covers a lot of ground and this is the line the market actually trades. Powell has quoted it at pressers. What the Fed watches it for is the risk of de-anchoring, the chance households stop believing inflation comes back to target, and a few tenths of upside here can change the policy conversation on its own. It is still a survey, though, and gasoline moves it, so check pump prices before you call a spike a regime change.
Treasuries sell off when the year-ahead number jumps. Fear that expectations are slipping loose reprices the Fed path and puts more inflation risk premium into yields. A soft print works the other way and helps the bond bid, most of all when a cut is already live. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.7 | — | 4.6 | — | ABOVE PRIOR | |
| 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 0.00 | ON THE SCREWS | |
| 4.6 | — | 4.0 | — | ABOVE PRIOR | |
| 4.0 | 4.3 | 4.3 | -2.00 | BELOW FORECAST | |
| 4.3 | — | 4.2 | +0.67 | ABOVE FORECAST | |
| 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | — | ON THE SCREWS |
The 6 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
| PERIOD | VALUE (%) | PRIOR | CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0% | 4.2% | -0.2% | |
| 4.2% | 4.6% | -0.4% | |
| 4.6% | 4.8% | -0.2% | |
| 4.8% | 4.7% | +0.1% | |
| 4.7% | 3.8% | +0.9% | |
| 3.8% | 3.4% | +0.4% | |
| 3.4% | 4.0% | -0.6% | |
| 4.0% | 4.2% | -0.2% |
These are the most recent official rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment each number landed.
Twice monthly: preliminary mid-month Friday, final end of month, with the sentiment report · 10:00 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.
