What was the latest Goods Trade Balance print?
Goods Trade Balance last printed -132.1B on Tue, Oct 6, 2026 against a -132.6B prior. The next release is Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Goods Trade Balance: release dates, results and history
Goods Trade Balance last printed -132.1B on Tue, Oct 6, 2026 against a -132.6B prior. The next release is Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
The advance goods balance is the first trade number to land in the quarter's GDP arithmetic, and it arrives about a week ahead of the full report. Tariff rounds have made it violent. Importers pull goods forward to beat a tariff, then stop once it bites, and that rush and payback have moved the gap by tens of billions inside a single month. GDP trackers get dragged along with it. The deficit runs near $100B a month, so the goods side of trade policy turns up here before anywhere else.
NEXT RELEASE
Next release --:--
The trend
OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 36 OBSERVATIONS · $M
-65299M-112376M-159453M
2023-092026-08
The official published series at its current vintage, revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history, with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the Helious API.
How it moves Treasuries
Bonds get no clean direction out of this one, same as the full report. A wider goods gap trims GDP tracking, which leans mildly bullish Treasuries. The move comes through the GDPNow revision, not the headline. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -132.1B | — | -132.6B | — | ABOVE PRIOR | |
| -132.6B | -108.5B | -119.6B | -8.03 | BELOW FORECAST | |
| -119.6B | — | -118.8B | — | BELOW PRIOR | |
| -118.8B | -99.0B | -102.1B | -6.60 | BELOW FORECAST | |
| -101.5B | -98.0B | -106.5B | -1.17 | BELOW FORECAST | |
| $-105.9B | — | $-105.8B | -0.03 | ON THE SCREWS |
The 6 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
| PERIOD | VALUE ($M) | PRIOR | CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
| -$136.6B | -$123.8B | -$12.8B | |
| -$123.8B | -$102.0B | -$21.8B | |
| -$102.0B | -$106.3B | +$4.3B | |
| -$106.3B | -$83.1B | -$23.2B | |
| -$83.1B | -$86.1B | +$3.1B | |
| -$86.1B | -$82.5B | -$3.6B | |
| -$82.5B | -$82.3B | -$0.2B | |
| -$82.3B | -$102.6B | +$20.3B |
These are the most recent official rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment each number landed.
FAQ
When is the next Goods Trade Balance release?
The next Goods Trade Balance release is Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Helious posts the print, the surprise against consensus and a verdict the second it lands.
Monthly, ~end of month, about a week before the full trade report · 8:30 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.