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Case-Shiller Home Price Index (YoY): release dates, results and history

Case-Shiller Home Price Index (YoY) last printed 2.5 on Tue, Sep 29, 2026 against a 2.2 consensus forecast and a 2.1 prior, a +0.75 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

When a newspaper writes about house prices, this is usually the number in the story. Case-Shiller is a 20-city composite built from repeat sales and quoted year over year. It is also slow. The reading is a three-month moving average published on a two-month lag, so it confirms a trend rather than breaking the news. Rates traders read it for one thing, whether home price momentum is picking up again while shelter CPI is still trying to cool.

NEXT RELEASE
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LATEST PRINT:
2.5
actual
2.2
forecast
2.1
prior
+0.75
std dev vs forecast
SLIGHT BEAT
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Surprise vs forecast
+0.75 std dev SLIGHT BEAT
-2-10+1+2
Printed above forecast. That gap is 0.75 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.

The trend

OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 36 OBSERVATIONS · % Y/Y
The official published series at its current vintage, revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history, with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the Helious API.

How it moves Treasuries

Release day is a non-event. What matters is the trend, and the trend feeds the shelter inflation argument. If prices are reaccelerating, shelter disinflation stalls and that leans bearish duration. Steady cooling supports the bond bid. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.

Recent prints, as captured by the desk

DATEACTUALFORECASTPRIORSURPRISE (SD)PRINT
2.5 2.2 2.1 +0.75 ABOVE FORECAST
2.1 1.7 1.6 +1.00 ABOVE FORECAST
1.6 1.3 1.1 +0.75 ABOVE FORECAST

The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.

Official series history

PERIODVALUE (% Y/Y)PRIOR
+2.47% +2.15%
+2.15% +1.71%
+1.71% +1.19%
+1.19% +0.95%
+0.95% +1%
+1% +1.26%
+1.26% +1.47%
+1.47% +1.46%

These are the most recent official rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment each number landed.

FAQ

What was the latest Case-Shiller Home Price Index (YoY) print?

Case-Shiller Home Price Index (YoY) last printed 2.5 on Tue, Sep 29, 2026 against a 2.2 consensus forecast and a 2.1 prior, a +0.75 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

When is the next Case-Shiller Home Price Index (YoY) release?

The next Case-Shiller Home Price Index (YoY) release is Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. Helious posts the print, the surprise against consensus and a verdict the second it lands.

Was the latest Case-Shiller Home Price Index (YoY) print a beat or a miss?

It printed above the consensus forecast: 2.5 against 2.2, a +0.75 standard-deviation surprise. The standard deviation is measured against this indicator's own history of consensus misses, so the same gap means more on a series that rarely surprises.

Monthly, last Tuesday for the month two prior · 9:00 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.

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