Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations last printed 3.5 on Fri, Oct 9, 2026 against a 3.4 prior. The next release is Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
The 5-year question is whether households still think inflation settles near target somewhere five to ten years out. That is the long-run anchor. When the number holds still, the Fed treats that as evidence expectations are anchored, and that is what buys patience on policy. It moves in tenths, and not often, which is exactly why a break out of the recent range is a real event.
An upside surprise hits the long end hardest. A scare about the anchor slipping gets paid for in inflation risk premium, and that steepens the curve. Come in line and nothing happens at all. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | — | 3.4 | — | ABOVE PRIOR | |
| 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0.00 | ON THE SCREWS | |
| 3.4 | — | 3.3 | — | ABOVE PRIOR | |
| 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.00 | ON THE SCREWS | |
| 3.3 | — | 3.3 | 0.00 | ON THE SCREWS | |
| 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | — | ON THE SCREWS |
The 6 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
Twice monthly: preliminary mid-month Friday, final end of month, with the sentiment report · 10:00 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.
