Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP): release dates, results and history
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) last printed 29K on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 against a 90K consensus forecast and a 162K prior, a -0.85 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Outside an FOMC decision, nothing on the calendar moves macro like Jobs Friday. What it counts is simple, the jobs the economy added or lost last month, but that number sets the terms of the Fed argument until the next one lands. While hiring holds up, the Fed can afford to sit still. Once payrolls crack, cuts get pulled forward. Revisions to earlier months land in the same release and routinely matter just as much as the new number.
The trend
How it moves Treasuries
A payrolls beat sells Treasuries off, so prices fall and yields rise. A genuinely big surprise is worth 5 to 10bp on yields within minutes, and the front end, the shortest maturities, leads it. Average hourly earnings print in the same report, so a soft headline does not guarantee a rally. Wage heat on its own can flip the reaction. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29K | 90K | 162K | -0.85 | BELOW FORECAST | |
| 162K | 56K | -23K | +1.47 | ABOVE FORECAST | |
| -23K | 80K | 57K | -1.43 | BELOW FORECAST | |
| 57K | 110K | 172K | -0.74 | BELOW FORECAST |
The 4 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
| PERIOD | VALUE (K JOBS) | PRIOR |
|---|---|---|
| +29K | +133K | |
| +133K | -10K | |
| -10K | +31K | |
| +31K | +63K | |
| +63K | +148K | |
| +148K | +214K | |
| +214K | -156K | |
| -156K | +160K |
These are the most recent official rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment each number landed.
Related indicators
Monthly, first Friday (Employment Situation report) · 8:30 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.