What was the latest Personal Spending print?
Personal Spending last printed 0.9 on Wed, Sep 30, 2026 against a 0.8 consensus forecast and a 0.2 prior, a +0.45 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Personal Spending: release dates, results and history
Personal Spending last printed 0.9 on Wed, Sep 30, 2026 against a 0.8 consensus forecast and a 0.2 prior, a +0.45 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Personal spending is the broadest monthly read on consumption. It covers services, the side of the consumer that retail sales barely touches. The nominal outlays print feeds straight into the quarter's consumption line, so GDP trackers get marked the moment it lands. And when spending keeps outrunning income, the savings rate drains, which is what a late cycle usually looks like.
NEXT RELEASE
Released monthly, end of month with personal income & outlays, usually around 8:30 AM ET. The desk posts the print the second it lands.
Surprise vs forecast
+0.45
std dev
IN LINE
-2-10+1+2
Printed in line with forecast. That gap is only 0.45 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.
The trend
OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 36 OBSERVATIONS · % M/M
+1.02%0-0.28%
2023-092026-08
The official published series at its current vintage, revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history, with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the Helious API.
How it moves Treasuries
A spending beat is bearish Treasuries because consumption trackers get marked up on it. A soft print feeds the slowdown bid instead. Neither reaction is usually the big one. The inflation figures released alongside matter more. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | +0.45 | ABOVE FORECAST | |
| 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.00 | ON THE SCREWS | |
| 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.00 | ON THE SCREWS |
The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
| PERIOD | VALUE (% M/M) | PRIOR |
|---|---|---|
| +0.86% | +0.1% | |
| +0.1% | +0.31% | |
| +0.31% | +0.78% | |
| +0.78% | +0.76% | |
| +0.76% | +0.89% | |
| +0.89% | +0.56% | |
| +0.56% | +0.22% | |
| +0.22% | +0.29% |
These are the most recent official rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment each number landed.
FAQ
When is the next Personal Spending release?
Personal Spending is released monthly, end of month with personal income & outlays, usually around 8:30 AM ET. This page lists the next date as soon as it is scheduled.
Was the latest Personal Spending print a beat or a miss?
It printed in line with the consensus forecast: 0.9 against 0.8, a +0.45 standard-deviation surprise. The standard deviation is measured against this indicator's own history of consensus misses, so the same gap means more on a series that rarely surprises.
Monthly, end of month with Personal Income & Outlays · 8:30 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.