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Daily brief 21 Jul 2026, 21:05 UTC

US ADP Wkly Employment Change Actual 16.5k (Forecast -, Previous 19.75, 10s +5bp — desk brief, Tue 21 Jul 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-07-20): 2s 4.21% (+3.0bp), 10s 4.6% (+5.0bp), 30s 5.11% (+5.0bp).

Tape (close 2026-07-20): VIX 18.65, 2s10s +37bp.

Narrative: UniCredit: Has the Iran War Become Background Noise for FX?

What mattered:

US ADP Wkly Employment Change Actual 16.5k (Forecast -, Previous 19.75k)
ADP weekly NER Pulse 16,500 vs 19,750 last week
Global Stocks Lift Australian Pension Funds to 9.5% Annual Gain
UniCredit: Has the Iran War Become Background Noise for FX?
Goldman Sachs: Oil Risks Still Skew Higher Despite China Demand Weakness

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