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Daily brief 26 Aug 2026, 21:05 UTC

Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM): 0.2, 10s -6bp

desk brief, Wed 26 Aug 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-08-25): 2s 4.17% (-7.0bp), 10s 4.64% (-6.0bp), 30s 5.17% (-6.0bp).

Tape (close 2026-08-25): VIX 15.45, 2s10s +47bp.

Narrative: US core PCE inflation expected to remain stubbornly high, urging the Fed to hike rates

What mattered:

Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM): 0.2
US data buoys dollar as Fed hike expectations nudged higher
Fed Can Avoid Hiking on Cooler Data, Economist Roth Says
U.S. inflation rises again and stays well above Fed’s target. Rate hike might be in play.
US core PCE inflation expected to remain stubbornly high, urging the Fed to hike rates

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