10-year Treasury yield jumps as September core inflation comes in hott

Wed 14 Oct 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-10-13): 2s 4.79%, 10s 5.21%, 30s 5.56%.

Tape (close 2026-10-13): VIX 15.27, 2s10s +42bp.

Narrative: Fed rate hike seen more likely after inflation data

What mattered:

10-year Treasury yield jumps as September core inflation comes in hotter than expected
Hot September CPI inflation keeps Fed on course for further tightening
US consumer prices accelerate in September on costlier gasoline; core CPI firmer
Fed rate hike seen more likely after inflation data
US Treasuries Slump as Hot Inflation Lifts Fed Rate-Hike Bets

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