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Daily brief 19 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC

IRGC Spokesman: Tehran has not yet completely closed the Strait of Hor, 10s -1bp

Mon 19 Oct 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-10-16): 2s 4.74% (-3.0bp), 10s 5.09% (-1.0bp), 30s 5.43% (+0.0bp).

Tape (close 2026-10-16): VIX 19.99, 2s10s +35bp.

Narrative: Iran's foreign minister: if US meets Iran's terms, strait could reopen within 6 days, talks to resume on 7th day

What mattered:

IRGC Spokesman: Tehran has not yet completely closed the Strait of Hormuz and can expand the scope of the blockade to the Bab al-Mandeb Strait and the Suez Canal - Tehran Times
Oil breaches $110 after US reportedly strikes Iranian naval base
Fed Could Raise Rates in October, Says Bhave
Iran Strait of Hormuz Management Organization: 122 ships have been added to the list of non-compliance.
Oil prices pare losses after more Houthi attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure

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