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HCOB Services PMI: 51.7, 10s -17bp · Fri 23 Oct 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-10-22): 2s 4.65% (-16.0bp), 10s 4.96% (-17.0bp), 30s 5.29% (-13.0bp).

Tape (close 2026-10-22): VIX 19.03, 2s10s +31bp.

Narrative: Gold struggles to extend recovery from three-month low amid Fed hike bets, firm USD

What mattered:

  • Germany · HCOB Services PMI: 51.7
  • Eurozone · HCOB Services PMI: 51.7
  • Iran's Revolutionary Guards: Two tankers struck naval mines while trying to use an unauthorised route south of the Strait of Hormuz - State Media.
  • Crude oil price forecast as Brent hits $117 amid US-Iran war fears
  • Oil prices goes past $116 and near Iran high amid Mideast supply jitters
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