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Blowout October payrolls data sets up Federal Reserve December rate ri, 10s -5bp

Fri 06 Nov 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-11-04): 2s 4.58% (-3.0bp), 10s 4.9% (-5.0bp), 30s 5.28% (-4.0bp).

Tape (close 2026-11-04): VIX 28.18, 2s10s +38bp.

Narrative: Fed Officials Pointing Toward Additional Interest Rates Hikes to Beat Inflation

What mattered:

  • Blowout October payrolls data sets up Federal Reserve December rate rise
  • Nonfarm Payrolls: 165K
  • Fed Officials Pointing Toward Additional Interest Rates Hikes to Beat Inflation
  • Daly says Fed rate hike likely, despite ’painful’ tech-stock dive
  • Fed’s Daly says further rate hikes likely needed to curb inflation
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