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Daily brief 10 Nov 2026, 21:05 UTC

Fed officials open door to a half-percentage-point rate hike as inflat, 10s +2bp

Tue 10 Nov 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-11-06): 2s 4.51% (+5.0bp), 10s 4.86% (+2.0bp), 30s 5.26% (+1.0bp).

Tape (close 2026-11-06): VIX 19.92, 2s10s +32bp.

Narrative: Fed's Waller Puts Jumbo Rate Hike on the Table Ahead of Hot Inflation Print

What mattered:

Fed officials open door to a half-percentage-point rate hike as inflation worsens
Fed's Waller opens door to half-point rate hike in December
Dollar jumps as hot CPI and Waller comments bring supersized Fed hike into play
Treasuries slide as ‘hot’ inflation sparks bets on Fed rate rise
Higher-than-expected October inflation sparks Treasury sell-off

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