Monthly Budget Statement: -432.0B
Monthly Budget Statement — Actual -432.0B, forecast -346.0B, prev -120.0B. BELOW FORECAST · -2.5σ. Bonds neutral · Equities neutral.
- US Bond Selloff Drives 30-Year Yields to Highest Since 2007, 10s +5bp · desk brief, Mon 17 Aug 2026
- Total Net TIC Flows: 133.5B
- Net Long-Term TIC Flows: 172.7B
- 26-Week (6-month) Bill auction — IN LINE
- 13-Week (3-month) Bill auction — IN LINE
- Cleveland Fed inflation nowcast: Q3 CPI 1.1% · core CPI 1.9% · PCE 2.3% · core PCE 2.9%
- NAHB Housing Market Index: 35
- NY Empire State Manufacturing Index: 20.6
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