Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)
A PMI, purchasing managers' index, is a monthly survey of company purchasing managers that shows whether business activity is growing or shrinking: a reading above 50 means it grew from the month before, and a reading below 50 means it shrank.
The latest S&P Global Composite PMI reading, released , was 55.9, against a 57.6 forecast and a 57.6 prior. The next one is due . History is on the S&P Global US PMI page.
The latest ISM manufacturing PMI reading, released , was 55.5, against a 54.6 forecast and a 54.5 prior. History is on the ISM manufacturing PMI page.
The latest ISM services PMI reading, released , was 54.5, against a 54.8 forecast and a 54.9 prior. History is on the ISM services PMI page.
How a PMI is built
Purchasing managers say whether new orders, output, employment, supplier delivery times and inventories are higher, lower or the same as a month earlier. Each index is the share answering higher plus half the share answering the same, so 50 is the line between growth and contraction. The distance from 50 shows how widespread the change is, not how large it is in dollars.
ISM and S&P Global
Two families matter in the US. The ISM manufacturing and services PMIs come out on the first and third business days of the month. The S&P Global PMIs come as a flash estimate around the third week of the month and final readings early the next, for manufacturing, services and a composite of the two. Helious tracks both, and scores the surprise against the forecast as each one prints.
Why traders watch PMIs
PMIs are the first read on each month, out weeks before hard data such as industrial production. The prices-paid and employment questions feed straight into the inflation and payrolls outlook, so a jump in prices paid can move rate expectations even when the headline barely changes.